Welcome! My name is Dave Trotter, and I've been working in politics since 1991. On this channel, we are going to be talking about elections and campaigns. Personally, I received my MA from McGill University focusing on voting behavior. Welcome, and please subscribe.
Voting Trend
No Early Vote update tonight. As you might have noticed the last few videos that votes are start to stagnate. There will be one tomorrow, along with preview videos as well. See you tomorrow.
5 days ago | [YT] | 279
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Voting Trend
Just received a sponsorship offer from Kalshi. What do you think my response was?
6 days ago | [YT] | 175
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Wow, lost nine subscribers since my last upload. I must not be giving them the hopium they want. Tough.
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 191
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@DarrenBaileyIL using old Congressional signs, which is fine. But something is missing. This was in Southern Illinois.
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 65
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I am going to have to cancel my Quebec election coverage. So no live stream.
4 weeks ago | [YT] | 38
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Apparently I forgot Ohio in my last video. That just means I need to do an Ohio video today.
1 month ago | [YT] | 97
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Voting Trend
So, @aidan_hall has just posted what I would consider one of the worst and ill-informed political slop videos that I have ever seen on YouTube with his "House Predictions". I want to rage SO HARD on his video but I know this isn't a rage channel. Should I? (I will be doing a full-length video on my @davestakes channel today).
If you have watched the video, let me know of other obvious errors that he has made. I've noticed a few, like the his clusterfucking of Iowa, Mike Lawler now representing Rochester, Florida having six "safe Democratic" seats, UP having three CDs, and mispronouncing the name "Begich", easily one of the most recognizable names in Alaska politics. Let me know below if you notice anything.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLWbZ...
1 month ago | [YT] | 15
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Voting Trend
I don't know if you know, but so-called "polling firms" have falsified data in their so-called polls. One straight up admitted it and one was caught. I've linked the story below.
As many of you know, I have been extremely skeptical of polls. And this is the reason why. Polling firms have proliferated over the past 10 years, and there is zero accountability for any of them. When they are added to polling sites and aggregates, they simply explain their methodology, but anyone can do that. And faking a poll is extremely, extremely easy. There is no actual physical verification that these firms are actually contacting potential voters.
During this cycle, I've seen many questionable polls. And while I think the Democrats are going to do well this cycle, some of the polls I'm seeing coming out are hard to believe, and from firms that I have never heard of. On top of that, many of the "respected" polling firms, like Emerson, have been way off in the primaries.
This is why it will be hard for me to make any videos until we start seeing early votes and vote-by-mail. I'm don't want to react to any poll as I have zero trust in the polls. And as of right now, that's about the only thing to report on.
For me, I think it is better to try to create as many nowcasting models for the general election instead reacting to every fake poll.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-polit…
2 months ago | [YT] | 136
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So, I'm starting to think that not doing videos during the election and missing out on all of that AdSense money might not be the best financial choice, so that might need to change.
3 months ago | [YT] | 180
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Voting Trend
Will the United States have free, fair, and accurate elections, which will reflect the will of the voters, in 2026?
3 months ago | [YT] | 57
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