Daily stock market analysis from Chartered Market Technician David Settle—plus a free Market Outlook Playbook for the next trading day.
Every weekday after the close, the public Market Outlook Preview explains the trends, breadth, sector rotation, macro events, risk signals, and potential trade setups shaping the next session.
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Educational content only. Not investment advice.
Market Scholars
Can small caps find their footing while equal weight continues to participate?
The Russell 2000 fell 0.59% yesterday, even as the S&P 500 reached a record. Wednesday could offer a clearer test of whether the recovery is reaching the laggards.
The attached Market Outlook Preview connects the five charts behind that uneven session. What would you need to see from small caps to call the recovery broader?
1 day ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Can Monday’s record become a broader recovery today? The Nasdaq reached a new high, yet more NYSE stocks hit new lows. The attached Market Outlook Preview shows the evidence behind that tension.
For Tuesday, fewer breakdowns would be more convincing if participation holds and long yields stabilize. Which part of that combination would you want to see improve first?
3 days ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Can semiconductor strength gain broader support in today’s session?
Yesterday, chip stocks improved while Treasury yields rose. That left a useful question: can leadership spread if the rate hurdle eases?
The attached September 29 Market Outlook Preview walks through five essential charts behind that tension. For today, I’m watching whether resilient chips are joined by lower yields and fewer stocks making new lows.
Which would you want to see improve first: rates, chip resilience or broader participation?
1 week ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Can Tuesday's stock rebound find support if oil and Treasury yields stay firm?
Monday's S&P 500 fell 0.77%, and the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.24%. The attached five-chart Market Outlook Preview connects the crude move with the rate pressure and the market's weaker participation. If oil and yields ease together, I will look for fewer new lows and better high-beta participation.
What evidence would make you trust a rebound?
1 week ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
If the S&P rebounds today, what would make it convincing? Yesterday’s stronger PMI met higher yields and broader stock weakness. The five charts in Wednesday’s public Market Outlook Preview show why an index gain alone may not settle the question.
Watch the attached Preview before today’s session and compare it with whether banks, chips, and small caps begin to steady. Which of those groups would you watch first?
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Thursday delivered real relief, but not a complete rotation. The S&P 500 gained 1.14% and semiconductors surged 2.76% as the 10-year yield fell to 4.947%. Equal weight, small caps, and financials still lagged.
Before Friday's open, watch whether lower yields can pull more of the market into the advance. The latest Market Outlook Preview is attached.
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Can the average stock catch up today?
Wednesday’s Fed hike left the Nasdaq nearly flat, but banks and equal weight weakened while semiconductors held up. The attached Market Outlook Preview shows why a 10-year yield below 5% is only part of Thursday’s test.
What would you need to see from banks and equal weight before trusting a broader rebound?
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 1
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Market Scholars
Can the Fed calm long-term yields without another deterioration in participation?
Tuesday brought oil above $105, a 10-year yield near 5%, and broader selling beneath the indexes. The attached Market Outlook Preview shows the five charts behind that pressure and why the session still stopped short of panic.
What would you need to see today to believe the market is stabilizing?
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Monday sold one of the market’s strongest leaders much harder than it sold the market itself.
Semiconductors fell 4.75%, while software surged and equal-weight stocks held slightly positive. The attached Market Outlook Preview breaks down that split and the evidence Tuesday must resolve.
Does chip weakness stay isolated today, or begin to pull the broader market lower?
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 0
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Market Scholars
Can Friday's CPI response repair what Thursday broke?
The 10-year yield ended at 4.944% while semiconductors fell 2.44%. Thursday's Market Outlook Preview shows why the next signal is not simply whether the S&P 500 rises, but whether equal weight strengthens alongside it.
What would convince you that participation is genuinely improving today?
4 weeks ago | [YT] | 0
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