Hey I'm Gherkinit, and welcome to my channel where we analyze financial markets, equities, cryptocurrency, options, movies, pickles, and espresso. This channel will have an emphasis on education in day trading, technical analysis, and value investing. I hope we can learn from each other on a path to financial independence, while making money, and having fun.
***Please be advised that foreign currency, stock, and option trading involves substantial risk of monetary loss. Neither Pickle Financial nor its staff recommends that you buy, sell, or hold any security. We do not offer investment advice, personalized or otherwise. All information contained on this server is provided as general commentary for informative and entertainment purposes, and does not constitute investment advice. Pickle Financial recommends that you conduct your own due diligence and consult a certified financial professional for personalized advice about your financial situation.
Pi-Fi
Unfortunatley, I was away most of yesterday so no market on close. But PPs will be out tonight and the stream will be running tomorrow.
1 week ago | [YT] | 16
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Pi-Fi
As promised this week's macro report from the member discord
on x or reddit cause I couldn't post the images here
x.com/gherkinit/status/2094640037832925242?s=20
www.reddit.com/r/PickleFinancial/s/a02ySLXJp4
3 weeks ago | [YT] | 10
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Pi-Fi
Macro write up for this week from the Dillionaire Member Discord.
1 month ago | [YT] | 38
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Pi-Fi
NBIS 2:13
MSFT 6:52
PLTR 12:45
CRSR 17:38
CELH 21:25
EPAM 25:30
GME 28:40
NFLX 31:54
ULTA 35:17
DOCU 37:58
UWMC 40:02
AAPL 40:40
UPST 44:29
SMCI 46:37
SOXL 48:44
MU 52:17
FSLR 56:42
COHR 59:33
SPCX 1:02:40
FUBO 1:04:06
1 month ago | [YT] | 0
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Pi-Fi
Surface:
IV10 / IV30: 11.84 / 13.52
HV10 / HV30: 9.84 / 14.83
Skew10 / Skew30: -0.31 / -0.36
Term: Contango, +1.68 IV30 > IV10
VRP10 / VRP30: +2.00 / -1.31
Intraday:
Close / %: 7,543.59 / +0.38%
OHLC: 7,536.70 / 7,557.44 / 7,513.23 / 7,543.59
Range: 44.21 pts / ~0.59%
Overnight Spot: 7,560.00 | +16.41 pts vs close | +0.22%
DoD vs 7/13:
IV10: -1.42
IV30: -0.57
HV10: +1.39
HV30: +0.09
Skew10: +0.02, less negative
Skew30: unchanged
Term: Contango widened from +0.83 to +1.68
VRP10: -2.81, less positive
VRP30: -0.66, more negative
Levels:
Upside pivot: 7,557
Breakout zone: 7,557 → 7,580 → 7,600
Downside trigger: 7,513
Overnight check: 7,560, above the cash high and upside pivot
Support ladder: 7,513 → 7,500 → 7,483
Regime:
CPI-driven rebound / overnight breakout / wider contango / softer skew / mixed VRP
Best Trade:
Bullish call diagonal
SPX Strikes:
Buy 28–35 DTE 7,550C
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,650C
Aggressive version:
Buy 28–35 DTE 7,550C
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,625C
Conservative version:
Buy 28–35 DTE 7,575C
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,675C
Rationale:
IV10 is rich to HV10 while IV30 remains cheap to HV30, and overnight spot is above the cash high. Own longer-dated upside and finance it with richer short-dated premium.
Highest-Probability Alternative:
Bull put spread
SPX Strikes:
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,475P
Buy 5–10 DTE 7,425P
Aggressive version:
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,500P
Buy 5–10 DTE 7,450P
Conservative version:
Sell 5–10 DTE 7,450P
Buy 5–10 DTE 7,400P
Small Account:
1-lot XSP call diagonal
XSP Strikes:
Buy 28–35 DTE 755C
Sell 5–10 DTE 765C
Aggressive version:
Buy 28–35 DTE 755C
Sell 5–10 DTE 762C
Conservative version:
Buy 28–35 DTE 757C
Sell 5–10 DTE 767C
Invalidation:
Acceptance below 7,513, especially with range expansion. Stronger invalidation below 7,483.
Bottom Line:
Best trade = bullish call diagonal.
Highest-probability alternative = bull put spread.
Small-account version = XSP call diagonal.
This is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, option, or strategy. Example strikes are illustrative only and are selected based on the prior SPX/XSP close and the surface/intraday inputs shown at the time of analysis. Options involve risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always verify pricing, liquidity, expirations, risk, margin requirements, and suitability for your own account before placing any trade. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial professional if needed.
2 months ago | [YT] | 27
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Pi-Fi
Make sure to check out Tonight's market on close and pickles picks for index trading tomorrow. Video is public and open to non-members. youtube.com/live/iw2C1skgqEk?feature=share
3 months ago | [YT] | 17
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Pi-Fi
Market on Close Ep.11 out now, sorry for the late night drop everyone it's been a hectic day but we cover continued conflict with Iran, tech earnings, oil, and UAE's OPEC exit. Enjoy!
4 months ago | [YT] | 2
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Pi-Fi
Hope everyone is enjoying Market on Close. It was supposed to bridge the gap between people who can watch all day and those that just need a summary. Let me know what you want to keep, what you want more of, and any suggestions !
5 months ago | [YT] | 87
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Pi-Fi
Let me know what you guys think of the new Market on Close series and what you'd like to see more of or topics you are interested in me covering.
5 months ago | [YT] | 37
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Pi-Fi
I guess people can post here now as well
6 months ago | [YT] | 19
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