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A market bounce can look encouraging while weakness builds beneath the surface.

Two ideas from this week’s report help explain why:

First, an index doesn’t tell the whole story. A few heavily weighted stocks can keep the S&P 500 relatively strong even as many of its individual stocks struggle. Market breadth adds another perspective: how many stocks are actually participating in that strength?

Second, a rebound can run into a familiar ceiling. When price breaks below support, that same level can become resistance. AJ Monte calls this “role reversal.” Watching what happens when price returns to that level can help distinguish a temporary bounce from a more meaningful recovery.

Together, these concepts offer a useful way to evaluate a rally: look at both participation across the market and how price behaves at resistance.

In the full report, AJ applies these ideas to DIA, IWM, QQQ and SPY, checks the VIX, and explains his options wheel approach using SpaceX and silver examples.

Watch the full chart breakdown:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VqEH0...

Which gets your attention first: the index’s price or the strength of the stocks beneath it?

For educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

3 hours ago | [YT] | 1

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Please note that we will not publish the Midweek Report today, 9/30/26. Thank you for your understanding and continued support of StickyTrades. We look forward to sharing our next market update with you.

4 days ago | [YT] | 12

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Can the market bounce and still be under pressure? Yes. That’s why the next move matters less than what happens when prices reach resistance.

In this week’s market report, AJ Monte looks at a possible short-term rebound in DIA and IWM while keeping downside scenarios in view for QQQ and SPY. He also checks the VIX and Treasury yields for clues about whether a rally might have room to continue.

One useful distinction: an oversold reading can signal that selling has stretched, but it does not confirm that the trend has changed. Watching how price behaves near a moving average or prior resistance can add context that the indicator alone cannot provide.

The full video shows the charts, the levels AJ is watching, and his SpaceX options wheel example: https://youtu.be/ICK31KhzGU8

Which signal are you watching most closely right now?

1 week ago | [YT] | 0

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📊 THE MARKET CAN RALLY WHILE THE MARKET BENEATH IT IS GETTING WEAKER

That’s one of the more interesting setups AJ Monte is watching right now.

Instead of looking only at whether the S&P 500 is green or red, AJ is looking underneath the index at how many individual S&P stocks are trading above or below their major moving averages.

Here’s what he showed in this week’s report:

More than 70% of S&P 500 stocks were below their 50-day moving average.

About 60% were below their 100-day moving average.

And roughly 52% were below their 200-day moving average.

Why pay attention to that?

An index doesn’t always tell you what’s happening underneath the surface. A smaller group of heavily weighted stocks can influence the index while many individual stocks are already weakening.

Then AJ pulled up QQQ.

The 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages are beginning to roll over, including a crossover AJ is watching closely.

But here’s what makes the current setup interesting:

AJ is still seeing technical reasons for the market to move higher in the short term.

That’s an important concept for traders to understand.

Short-term momentum and the longer-term trend don’t have to point in the same direction.

A chart can show short-term bullish momentum while the broader technical picture is deteriorating.

So which one wins out?

In the full Weekly Market Report, AJ puts these signals together and shows the actual levels he’s watching next on DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY and the VIX.

▶️ Watch the full Weekly Market Report here:
https://youtu.be/s2Tju7KHuV4

Then come back and tell us what you see in the charts. Are you paying more attention to the short-term momentum or the longer-term moving averages?

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

2 weeks ago | [YT] | 0

StickyTrades

📊 WHY DO TRADERS PAY SO MUCH ATTENTION TO GAPS?

A gap is essentially an area on a chart where price jumps from one trading range to another, leaving a “void” between one session and the next.
But identifying the gap is only the beginning.
The more interesting question is: What happens when price comes back to that area?
That’s where gap analysis can become especially useful.

Imagine an ETF sells off sharply and approaches an old gap while several other technical conditions begin lining up:
➡️ Price reaches a previous support area
➡️ The gap is being filled
➡️ CCI moves into an oversold condition
➡️ Momentum begins showing positive divergence
➡️ Selling volume starts weakening

None of those signals, by itself, tells a trader exactly what will happen next.
Together, however, they can tell a much more interesting story.

For example, positive divergence occurs when price makes a lower low while a momentum indicator makes a higher low. That difference can suggest that although price is still falling, the momentum behind the decline may be weakening.
Then there’s the VIX.

Because the VIX is commonly used as a measure of expected S&P 500 volatility, traders often study it alongside SPY rather than looking at either chart in isolation. A pullback in volatility occurring while SPY reaches technical support can provide additional context when evaluating whether market conditions are changing.

This is an important principle of technical analysis:
Don’t build an entire market thesis around one indicator. Look for multiple pieces of evidence that either support—or challenge—the same idea.

In this week’s Market Report, AJ Monte puts that process into practice across DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, VIX, and SLV, including a detailed look at price gaps, support and resistance, CCI divergence, volatility, and options strategies.

▶️ Watch the full report to see these concepts applied directly to the charts. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8nAB...

Which signal carries the most weight in your own chart analysis: gaps, support/resistance, momentum, volume, or volatility? 👇

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

#TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #PriceAction #OptionsTrading #SPY

3 weeks ago | [YT] | 2

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📊 TWO CHARTING CONCEPTS EVERY TRADER SHOULD UNDERSTAND

You’ll hear AJ Monte talk about gaps and role reversal quite a bit in the Weekly Market Report.

There’s a reason for that.

A gap creates an area on the chart where price jumped from one level to another without trading through the prices in between. AJ watches these areas because they can become important levels when price returns to them.

But here’s the part that traders sometimes miss:

Getting to the gap is only half of what AJ is watching.

He’s also looking at what price does AFTER it gets there.

Does volume increase?

Does price stall?

Is there previous support or resistance nearby?

Is a moving average sitting in the same area?

Does price begin to reverse?

That brings us to the second concept: role reversal.

When an established resistance level is broken, that same area can later become support. The opposite can happen when support breaks and becomes resistance.

Now put the two concepts together.

If a gap, previous support or resistance, and a moving average are all sitting near the same price level, AJ has multiple technical reasons to pay attention to that area rather than relying on a single indicator.

That’s exactly what makes this week’s report interesting.

AJ walks through these setups on DIA, IWM, QQQ and SPY — and then shows how the VIX may provide another piece of information about what could happen in the S&P 500.

The goal isn’t to know exactly what the market will do.

It’s to identify important levels BEFORE price gets there and then watch how the market responds.

▶️ Watch this week’s Weekly Market Report to see AJ mark these levels directly on the charts and explain what he’s watching next.

📈 Learn more at StickyTrades.com

What do you pay more attention to on your charts: gaps, support and resistance, or moving averages? 👇

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

1 month ago | [YT] | 0

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📊 WHAT ARE THE CHARTS TELLING US RIGHT NOW?

There’s a lot happening underneath the surface of this market, and this week AJ Monte is watching several signals that traders may want to understand.

Nvidia’s earnings reaction was a great example.
NVDA initially moved lower after earnings, but then reversed sharply in after-hours trading. AJ points to the change in volume on the chart and explains what he believes was happening as larger market participants stepped in.

But Nvidia is only one piece of this week’s report.

Crude oil is forming a higher low and higher high.
DIA and IWM are trading below or around important technical levels.
QQQ has open gaps that AJ is watching as potential areas for price movement.
SPY is approaching an area where previous resistance could become support.
And the VIX just filled a gap AJ identified in last week’s report.

Here’s something worth learning from all of this:
A trader doesn’t have to look at each chart in isolation.

Oil can provide information about inflation.
The VIX can provide information about volatility.
Volume can help show what’s happening behind a price move.
Support, resistance and open gaps can identify areas where traders may want to pay closer attention.

Put those pieces together, and the market starts telling a much more interesting story.

AJ breaks down all of these charts in this week’s Weekly Market Report. He also spends the second half of the video explaining the options wheel strategy using SLV as a real-world example.

If you want to see the levels AJ is watching — and understand why he’s watching them — check out the full Weekly Market Report.

📈 Learn more about AJ Monte and the StickyTrades community at:
StickyTrades.com

What market are you watching most closely right now: SPY, QQQ, NVDA, VIX, crude oil or silver? 👇

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

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🚨 THE MARKET IS PULLING BACK — BUT THE NEXT MOVE COULD BE DECIDED AT A KEY LEVEL

Selling pressure has been hitting the major indexes, but a declining market doesn’t necessarily mean traders should only focus on how much further it could fall.
The more interesting question may be:
Where could buyers start showing up?

In this week’s Market Report, AJ Monte identifies an area on SPY where several technical factors are beginning to come together.

One of the most important is role reversal.
Previous resistance was broken as SPY moved higher. When price eventually returns to an old resistance area, technicians often watch to see whether that same level begins acting as support.

Add a nearby price gap into the equation, and that area becomes even more interesting to monitor.

But there’s another chart AJ is watching closely...
The VIX. 👀

Volatility has been moving higher as stocks have come under pressure, but there’s still an open gap below the VIX that AJ believes deserves attention.

Why does that matter?
If the VIX moves down to address that gap while SPY reaches potential support, the interaction between the two could provide valuable information about whether buyers are beginning to return.

And what happens after that could be even more important.

This isn’t about assuming support will hold or trying to know the market’s next move in advance.

It’s about identifying important areas on the chart and then watching how price and volatility actually react when they get there.

🎥 In the full Weekly Market Report, AJ breaks down the levels he’s watching across SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM and the VIX — plus a discussion about SpaceX, Tesla and the growing AI ecosystem.

▶️ WATCH THE FULL REPORT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ymv7J...

👇 What are you watching more closely right now — SPY or the VIX?
Want to see the trades we’re watching?
Visit Stickytrades.com/trade-signals

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For educational and informational purposes only.

#StockMarket #SPY #VIX #QQQ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #TradingEducation #Stickytrades

1 month ago | [YT] | 0

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⚠️ THE MARKET JUST FLASHED A WARNING — Here’s What Traders Should Be Watching

The major indexes are beginning to show something traders don’t want to ignore: lower highs, lower lows, weakening momentum, and nearby price gaps.
In the latest Stickytrades Weekly Market Report, AJ Monte breaks down what is developing across DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, and the VIX — and why several technical signals are now pointing toward increased downside risk.

But there’s a bigger lesson here than simply whether the market moves higher or lower.

📉 Price gaps could become important
DIA, IWM, QQQ, and SPY all have areas where previous gaps may influence price action.

Why does that matter?
A gap represents an area where relatively little trading occurred between two price levels. When price returns toward that area, traders often watch closely for a potential reaction.

The important part isn't simply identifying a gap. It's understanding what price does when it gets there.
Does momentum accelerate through it?
Does price stall?
Does a reversal candle appear?
Does the CCI begin changing direction?
Those additional pieces of evidence can provide far more information than treating a gap level as a standalone signal.

📊 CCI is also sending an important message
AJ explains the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) settings he uses and why this indicator remains an important part of his chart analysis.
One concept worth understanding is that momentum can begin changing before the price chart makes the move obvious.

That’s why combining price structure with indicators can be useful.
A lower high and lower low may establish the pivot. CCI and stochastic can then provide additional information about whether momentum is strengthening or weakening.

No single indicator should be viewed in isolation. The educational value comes from learning how multiple pieces of technical evidence interact.

🔤 Then there’s the ABCD pattern…
If the market reaches a gap area and rebounds, that doesn’t necessarily mean the larger move is finished.

AJ explains how an ABCD structure could potentially develop following a bounce.
Understanding this pattern can help traders distinguish between a potential trend reversal and a temporary countertrend move.

🌎 And QQQ has another factor worth watching: AI competition.
The technology discussion goes beyond chart patterns.

China continues investing aggressively in artificial intelligence, creating another variable for traders following the U.S. technology sector.

For QQQ, that means traders may want to consider both sides of the equation: technical price action and the fundamental forces affecting major technology companies.

Meanwhile, volatility deserves attention.

The VIX recently reached a downside target and is beginning to show signs of changing structure. If volatility begins expanding while the major indexes weaken, that combination can provide another piece of information about the market environment.

The goal isn't to know exactly what happens next.
It’s to understand the evidence the market is providing — and how that evidence changes as price moves.

🎥 Watch the full Weekly Market Report for AJ Monte’s complete chart-by-chart breakdown of DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY, VIX, CCI, gap fills, ABCD patterns, options examples, and risk-management techniques.

▶️ WATCH THE FULL VIDEO HERE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-ym3...

What are you watching most closely right now — SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM, or VIX?
Drop it in the comments.

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This content is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Historical trades, price targets, technical patterns, and market scenarios discussed in the video should not be interpreted as individualized investment recommendations.

1 month ago | [YT] | 1

StickyTrades

📊 135 Price Targets Published. 120 Reached.

Every week, AJ Monte publishes price targets on DIA, IWM, QQQ, SPY and the VIX based on what he's seeing in the charts.

And we keep track of them.

Over the past 12 months:

🎯 135 price targets published
✅ 120 reached
⏳ 15 remained open at the end of the reporting period

Take a look at the graphic to see the results for each market.

So, what should traders take away from this?

A price target isn't something AJ uses by itself. Support and resistance, volume, moving averages, momentum indicators and price action all help provide context for what the chart is showing.

And market conditions can change.

That's why keeping track of published targets is useful. It gives us a measurable record of what the analysis showed at the time and what happened afterward.

Want to dig into all 12 months of results and learn more about how we track these targets?

Read the complete report here:
stickytrades.com/post/12-month-accuracy-report-aug…

💬 What do you think of the results? Let us know in the comments.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss.

#StickyTrades #AJMonte #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #SPY #QQQ

1 month ago | [YT] | 11