Is The Market Breaking Out Or Breaking Bad? | New Harbor Financial

REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference Volatility is returning to the market as bond yields keep rising. Yet stocks remain near all-time highs. Is the market breaking out, to set new highs soon? Or is it "breaking bad"? In danger of being pulled down by price whipsawing & higher borrowing costs? To answer for us, the senior partners at New Harbor Financial join us for a livestream today. They'll share the data convincing them which direction stocks & bonds are headed, as well as take you live Q&A #marketcorrection #bondyields #volatility 0:00 – Is the market breaking out or breaking bad? 2:22 – Mike Preston: S&P 500 chart analysis shows a breakout 4:18 – New Harbor indicators lean offense; 50% equity allocation 5:11 – What’s driving the rally: AI earnings strength or policy easing? 7:48 – Hard assets spike (gold, silver, Bitcoin) on liquidity news 8:52 – John Llodra: Improving offense signals and healthy market broadening 11:24 – Treasury buybacks explained: what the program is and is not 13:34 – Yield-curve chart and the appearance of fiscal prudence 14:44 – Why the buybacks signal intervention rather than strength 17:26 – Are rising bond yields mainly about inflation expectations? 19:04 – Is the currency debasement trade back on? 22:30 – Viewer question: What finally brings the market back to reality? 23:51 – How bubbles typically end (narrative frays underneath) 25:56 – Bubble in AI valuations and overly optimistic earnings forecasts 27:43 – Still constructive on equities while watching for early warning signs 29:37 – Mike Preston’s technical overview of precious metals 30:33 – Bullish-percent washout in the miners 32:26 – GDX triangle breakout and key resistance levels 34:38 – Silver chart: recovery and remaining hurdles 35:30 – Gold chart, congestion zones, and longer-term upside targets 37:54 – Does the Treasury announcement add fuel to the metals rally? 40:05 – Viewer question: Are beaten-down food stocks a good recession play? 43:26 – Thoughts on TLT and long-duration Treasuries 48:35 – If the AI bubble bursts, where does flight-to-safety capital go? _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter. We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such. We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance. All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video. Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosure Thoughtful Money Agreement: thoughtfulmoney.com/agreement IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance. Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC. Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.