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The Federal Reserve continues to talk a hawkish game
But with high bond yields, high oil prices & stubborn inflation, and the need to make the US debt service more bearable, will Fed Chair Kevin Warsh eventually be forced to cut interest rates in 2027?
To find out, we had the great good fortune of sitting down for a livestream with Fed watcher Axel Merk today, who not only shared his real-time reaction to today's Fed news, but also took live audience Q&A.
#federalreserve #interestrates #inflation
0:00 — Intro
1:34 — Axel's Fed Mentor: Former St. Louis Fed President Bill Poole
4:31 — Axel's Input To Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
7:22 — Fed Holds Rates Steady, With Two Dissents
8:06 — What Axel Didn't Like In The Fed Statement
10:54 — Fewer Statements & Rate Decisions Coming Next Year
12:13 — "Removing A Dose Of Accommodation"
14:00 — Tighter, But Not Tight: A December Rate Hike?
16:29 — Why Warsh Upgraded The Economy To "Strong"
17:55 — The November Productivity Conference
20:27 — What Fed Independence Really Means
22:19 — Strong Growth & Wage-Price Inflation Risk
23:30 — The Bank Of Canada's Rate Hike
25:26 — Oil, Gold & Bond Prices Decoupling
29:11 — Does Warsh Have A Clear Framework?
34:49 — Is The Fed Making A Policy Error?
39:11 — Supply Shocks & The 1970s Lesson
41:27 — Fiscal Irresponsibility & The Next Recession
44:54 — How Much Do Presidents Drive Deficits?
50:01 — California's Proposed Wealth Tax
52:22 — Where Are Home Prices Headed By 2030?
56:28 — Will The World Ditch The Dollar?
1:00:34 — Fragmentation, Not A Rival Reserve Currency
1:07:33 — Gold & Silver: Is A Bottom Near?
1:16:33 — Go Vote
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